Evaluates prognosis of systemic mastocytosis
Audience: PRACTITIONER
Published by EVAL Foundation
Revision 1 · Published July 31, 2026
Pardanani A, Shah S, Mannelli F, Elala YC, Guglielmelli P, Lasho TL, Patnaik MM, Gangat N, Ketterling RP, Reichard KK, Hanson CA, Vannucchi AM, Tefferi A. Mayo alliance prognostic system for mastocytosis: clinical and hybrid clinical-molecular models. Blood Adv. 2018 Nov 13;2(21):2964-2972. doi: 10.1182/bloodadvances.2018026245. PMID: 30413432; PMCID: PMC6234360.
The Mayo Alliance Prognostic System was developed by Animesh Pardanani and colleagues, combining five clinical variables into a risk model, later enhanced by adding mutation data, to predict survival in systemic mastocytosis (SM). The model was built from a large cohort of SM patients seen at Mayo Clinic (n = 580). It comes in two versions:
Clinical model — uses only readily available lab/clinical data (no genetic testing needed)
Hybrid clinical-molecular model — adds mutation testing for extra precision
Each patient is scored by adding up points across these variables:
Variable | Category | Points |
|---|---|---|
SM subtype | Indolent/smoldering SM | 0 |
Advanced SM | +2 | |
Age | ≤60 years | 0 |
>60 years | +1 | |
Platelets | ≥150×10⁹/L | 0 |
<150×10⁹/L | +1 | |
Serum ALP | Normal | 0 |
Above normal | +1 | |
Adverse mutations (ASXL1, RUNX1, NRAS) | Absent | 0 |
Present | +1 |
The clinical-only model maxes out at 5 points; adding mutation status brings the hybrid model to a max of 6.
The score stratifies patients into risk groups tied to survival estimates. From the original derivation cohort, more risk factors present translated to progressively worse outcomes — going from a 5-year survival near 99% with zero risk factors down to single digits with all five factors present, and median survival dropping from "not reached" to under a year at the high end.
Results in this tool will display as follows:
MAPS Score | Risk Category | Median Overall Survival |
|---|---|---|
≤2 | Low | 198 months |
3 | Intermediate | 85 months |
4 | Intermediate | 36 months |
≥5 | High | 12 months |
Higher total score → worse expected prognosis.
The result should inform (not dictate) treatment intensity decisions — for instance, prompting consideration of more aggressive therapy at higher scores — always alongside full clinical judgment.
One more note: MAPS keeps evolving — a 2025 "MAPS-R" revision project is underway at Mayo Clinic to account for prognostic differences within the advanced-SM subcategories defined by the newer International Consensus Classification, and a separate 910-patient validation study compared MAPS's performance against other prognostic models using ICC-based classification. So if you're using this clinically, it's worth keeping an eye out for the updated version.
Current: Revision 1
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